As you head into your fantasy draft, there are going to be a lot of “experts” giving you a lot of advice on who to target (us included). The problem is that most of these experts rely heavily on last year’s stats to determine this year’s projections. Here are some players coming off big performances last season that you might want to wait on.
Marshawn Lynch – Marshawn Lynch had a good season last year, so that has people thinking he is finally going to live up to his potential. Not so fast. I am sure you can recall when Lynch first got to Buffalo he was a beast and ran like a man possessed. The problem is when he starts having off the field issues, he loses his focus and then he is the same player that the Bills gave up on. Marshawn will come back down to earth this year and counting on him as one of your core guys would be a mistake.
Trent Richardson – Don’t get me wrong Richardson is a talented guy and may have a great career in the NFL just not this year. Without to much trouble we can all think of a running back that coming out of college was anticipated to be the next great back and it just didn’t pop. Is this his fate? Maybe, maybe not. This year however he is playing on a bad team with a rookie quarterback and no real weapons in the receiving game to prevent the defence from putting 8 in the box every play. Richardson is going to have no room to move this season unless the Browns can produce through the air. Some predictions have him going in the first round and that is way too early.
Maurice Jones-Drew – MJD and the Jaguars are in the middle of a standoff and it looks as though neither party is willing to blink first. Jaguars have a new coaching staff with a new system and Jones-Drew isn’t there to learn it. I do not doubt MJD’s abilities but we all saw how no off-season and a long holdout worked for Chris Johnson last year.
AJ Green – This ridiculously talented second year player had a fantastic rookie season and if not for Cam Newton he may have taken Rookie of the Year honors. Green may have a good year but not a great year. He not only has to overcome his own sophomore slump but Andy Dalton is also going into sophomore season and will add to the likelihood of a decline in Green’s play. It is hard enough to follow up a great rookie campaign with everything around you being ideal, just ask Mike Williams. Green has to overcome two sophomore slumps.